Test 068

ok so i finally pinned the expansion thing enough to write it down. EXP-2023-05-expansion-nudge. keeping it tight: retained mid-seg only, 75-200 seats, v2 accounts, hit them with the in-product prompt at day 60 and see if we can get at least +$8 expansion MRR per acct. flag is `expansion_nudge_60d_v1`. starting at 25% -- don't want a giant splash before we know the copy/placement isn't junk -- and the window is 2 weeks if the power math holds. in parallel with the sub-50-seat doc still, which is annoying but also kind of the same pattern as before. two tracks, one more strategic, one just ship the test.

ok so i finally pinned the expansion thing enough to write it down. EXP-2023-05-expansion-nudge. keeping it tight: retained mid-seg only, 75-200 seats, v2 accounts, hit them with the in-product prompt at day 60 and see if we can get at least +$8 expansion MRR per acct. flag is `expansion_nudge_60d_v1`. starting at 25% -- don't want a giant splash before we know the copy/placement isn't junk -- and the window is 2 weeks if the power math holds. in parallel with the sub-50-seat doc still, which is annoying but also kind of the same pattern as before. two tracks, one more strategic, one just ship the test.

ok so i finally pinned the expansion thing enough to write it down. EXP-2023-05-expansion-nudge. keeping it tight: retained mid-seg only, 75-200 seats, v2 accounts, hit them with the in-product prompt at day 60 and see if we can get at least +$8 expansion MRR per acct. flag is `expansion_nudge_60d_v1`. starting at 25% -- don't want a giant splash before we know the copy/placement isn't junk -- and the window is 2 weeks if the power math holds. in parallel with the sub-50-seat doc still, which is annoying but also kind of the same pattern as before. two tracks, one more strategic, one just ship the test.

first weekly cut on EXP-2023-05-expansion-nudge. treatment is ahead, roughly +$4 expansion MRR per account vs control, which is nice i guess, but n=92 so it's basically unreadable if we're pretending p=0.05 means anything yet. PostHog slice matches warehouse, at least. i logged it and left it alone -- same rule as always, don't ship on first significance, and here we're not even close to enough sample to react. two more weeks of data.

first weekly cut on EXP-2023-05-expansion-nudge. treatment is ahead, roughly +$4 expansion MRR per account vs control, which is nice i guess, but n=92 so it's basically unreadable if we're pretending p=0.05 means anything yet. PostHog slice matches warehouse, at least. i logged it and left it alone -- same rule as always, don't ship on first significance, and here we're not even close to enough sample to react. two more weeks of data.

We just met on the expansion-nudge read, and I want the experiment record updated so nobody later reads June as a hidden ship decision. Please update EXP-2023-05-expansion-nudge to status "inconclusive" with landed_at 2023-06-29. The result should say the aggregate lift settled below the +$8 expansion MRR per-account bar and the experiment should not become a blanket rollout. The learning carryforward should say behavior-based Expansion Assist should explore prompts only for upgrade-ready retained-mid accounts with integration depth, admin activity, and signs of a usage ceiling.

We just met on the expansion-nudge read, and I want the experiment record updated so nobody later reads June as a hidden ship decision. Please update EXP-2023-05-expansion-nudge to status "inconclusive" with landed_at 2023-06-29. The result should say the aggregate lift settled below the +$8 expansion MRR per-account bar and the experiment should not become a blanket rollout. The learning carryforward should say behavior-based Expansion Assist should explore prompts only for upgrade-ready retained-mid accounts with integration depth, admin activity, and signs of a usage ceiling.